In order to clarify the change of risk probability in the safety risk management of fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics, the risk coupling analysis was carried out on five factors which affect the safety of fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics, including human, management, equipment, technology and environment. The coupling of risk factors was divided into three combination types: single factor, double factors and multiple factors. Then the probability of different risk-coupling form was calculated, and an N-K model was built to quantify the coupling risk value. The results showed that: with the increase of risk coupling factors, the coupling risk value increased; the 3-factor coupling lead to the increase of the possibility of unsafe events in the system in local coupling; the coupling of management-equipment factors and other factors had a greater risk of causing unsafe incidents than the coupling of other two types of factors and other factors. Therefore, it is suggested that in risk management of fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics, the independent role of key factors such as management, equipment and technology should be controlled and the coupling form with strong coupling should be avoided as far as possible, and risk control should be carried out from the source.
王 佳,郑天玉,刘 喜,张巧巧,赵春筝
. Security Risks Coupling of Fruit and Vegetable Cold Chain Logistics Based on N-K Model[J]. Transport Research, 2021
, 7(2)
: 11
-19
.
DOI: 10.16503/j.cnki.2095-9931.2021.02.002
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